Lottery players would kill for the same odds hinting at calamity for the dead today and the doomed tomorrow. Such guaranteed victory is alluring to any gambler. Perhaps that’s why online sites such as Kalshi now take stock market style bets on real life events. After all, if it’s so obvious something is going to go one way or another, capitalism strongly suggests only a fool doesn’t try to make a dollar on an assured outcome.
For the time being, this prediction betting platform has yet to start taking bets on political violence. However, that hasn’t stopped them from aiming at whatever cash they can collect by encouraging gambling on global affairs which could turn into military firestorms. So long as the blood remains an ethereal aspect of tomorrow, the grossly cynical inhumanity of what they’re doing is apparently ignored vis-à-vis the old adage out of sight, out of mind.
For the time being, this prediction betting platform has yet to start taking bets on political violence. However, that hasn’t stopped them from aiming at whatever cash they can collect by encouraging gambling on global affairs which could turn into military firestorms. So long as the blood remains an ethereal aspect of tomorrow, the grossly cynical inhumanity of what they’re doing is apparently ignored vis-à-vis the old adage out of sight, out of mind.
Still, Kalshi already has a page dedicated to the powder keg that involves the U.S. seizing control of Greenland. They’re also already letting people gamble on the regime change in Venezuela. Once they find the right semantics to word a bet in the least offensive way possible these cash-ghouls will likely sink their teeth into other simmering catastrophes.
It’s hard to imagine founders Luana Lopes Lara and Tarek Mansour aren’t drooling over the prospect of money mountains they could rake in allowing gambling on the potential riots looming in Minnesota. The only reason not to permit any such bets is simply because the pay out might be crippling. Of course, the real money isn’t made cashing out to those with foresight. It’s the optimistic suckers who bet against reality. Their money will feed the gluttonous greed of the capitalist beast.
That said, such bets would be risks bordering on offensively foolish. It’d be like betting against a bear in a pit fight with an infant. Consider, there’s a grim foresight that permeates the Trump era of the United States. Although this makes gambling on the future almost a sure thing, the grotesque obviousness of certain situations, the seemingly inevitable outcomes on the horizon can be psychologically crippling. Living through this dystopian nightmare, while occasionally farcical, is often like staring down a slow-moving train creeping towards an avoidable wreck. Every day we wake up in a chemical fire caused by such preventable catastrophes.
The most recent misfortune in this appalling clown show, all of which is designed to amuse a screaming tangerine toddler, is the tragic murder in Minneapolis of Renee Nicole Good, “a 37-year-old mother of three… prize-winning poet… who was there as a legal observer of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) activities.” On January 7th, 2026, an ICE thug shot and killed Renee in an incident that is as horrifying as it was completely unnecessary.
This jackbooted goon, one of the many incompetent, unqualified, and likely ill-trained brutes terrorizing immigrants as well as citizens throughout the United States is the latest predictable escalation in the Trump administration’s war on our collective sanity. It fits right into a pattern that has featured worsening outcomes for months. Consider, that the moment reports came in of Renee’s murder, the President immediately hopped on Truth Social, his preferred bully pulpit to declare she was a “professional agitator” and that regarding the officer who shot her, “it is hard to believe he is alive, but is now recovering in the hospital.”
It’s hard to imagine founders Luana Lopes Lara and Tarek Mansour aren’t drooling over the prospect of money mountains they could rake in allowing gambling on the potential riots looming in Minnesota. The only reason not to permit any such bets is simply because the pay out might be crippling. Of course, the real money isn’t made cashing out to those with foresight. It’s the optimistic suckers who bet against reality. Their money will feed the gluttonous greed of the capitalist beast.
That said, such bets would be risks bordering on offensively foolish. It’d be like betting against a bear in a pit fight with an infant. Consider, there’s a grim foresight that permeates the Trump era of the United States. Although this makes gambling on the future almost a sure thing, the grotesque obviousness of certain situations, the seemingly inevitable outcomes on the horizon can be psychologically crippling. Living through this dystopian nightmare, while occasionally farcical, is often like staring down a slow-moving train creeping towards an avoidable wreck. Every day we wake up in a chemical fire caused by such preventable catastrophes.
The most recent misfortune in this appalling clown show, all of which is designed to amuse a screaming tangerine toddler, is the tragic murder in Minneapolis of Renee Nicole Good, “a 37-year-old mother of three… prize-winning poet… who was there as a legal observer of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) activities.” On January 7th, 2026, an ICE thug shot and killed Renee in an incident that is as horrifying as it was completely unnecessary.
This jackbooted goon, one of the many incompetent, unqualified, and likely ill-trained brutes terrorizing immigrants as well as citizens throughout the United States is the latest predictable escalation in the Trump administration’s war on our collective sanity. It fits right into a pattern that has featured worsening outcomes for months. Consider, that the moment reports came in of Renee’s murder, the President immediately hopped on Truth Social, his preferred bully pulpit to declare she was a “professional agitator” and that regarding the officer who shot her, “it is hard to believe he is alive, but is now recovering in the hospital.”
Homeland Security Secretary and proud puppy killer, Kristi Noem, was quick to sycophantically echo the President’s dishonesty, while cosplaying as some kind of cowgirl commando. Both insist video evidence shows Renee ran over an ICE agent with her car, and he fired at her in self-defense. It’s tempting to say anyone who watches the actual video can see the plain falsehood of that claim. However, today in the Oval Office, in an attempt to prove his position, the President showed a video to the press. When journalists pushed that it can be plainly seen the ICE officer was not in danger, Trump disagreed.
It's worth pointing out that the photo accompanying The New York Times coverage of that conversation is very telling. Natalie Harp, a presidential aide clearly hired by Trump central casting Bring Me a Barely Legal Blonde, holds up a laptop displaying the video. It appears to be one of the worst views of the awful incident, so clearly there’s an obvious aura of disingenuousness about this attempt to prove the administration’s bogus assertion. Even if the video presentation went on to include better angles, the main fact is that Trump will never acknowledge any reality that does not fit the one which benefits him.
The best angle is hard to watch because it features a human being getting murdered by a coward. There isn’t any context where death is fun to observe. Speaking as someone who has watched material such as the infamous recording by the Dnepropetrovsk Maniacs a.k.a. “3guys1hammer”, there is something hauntingly odious about the death of Renee Nicole Good, especially in this disturbingly post-truth era old yam tits keeps driving us deeper into.
This was a completely avoidable tragedy based on every metric possible. ICE clearly escalates the situation, but that’s only because the President has made this Temu gestapo a jewel of his administration. They are meant to be the strongarm of a weak silver spoon narcissist aspiring to be a tin pot dictator.
Strength isn’t simply a matter of physicality. Strength is also the psychological fortitude to admit limitations, bear the brunt of being wrong, and continue onward in a new direction, having corrected course. Trump is demonstrably incapable of all those things. A weak individual to the core, the President is a house of cards glued together with bullshit that flinches in the presence of a strong wind, so he has surrounded himself with a horde of opportunistic Yes-people to shelter him from being blown apart by the absolute truth of his utter incompetence. He would rather vilify the victim of violence by his goon squad than admit ICE is a reckless risk to the people’s well-being.
I say that because this is clearly the point. It’s not simply a matter of trying to force people to conform to his confabulations. That’s the price of admission to his cult of personality—the loyalty test demanding people swallow heaping helpings of bullshit with a grin. Trump is also making it clear there will be zero accountability for the violence perpetrated under his name. That’s why he’s pardoned the January 6th Insurrectionists, and why right-wing propaganda is quick to accept any narrative from this administration that justifies murder.
Consider how Representative Wesley Hunt hurried on to Newsmax to declare, “The bottom line is this: when a federal officer gives you instructions, you abide by them and then you get to keep your life.”
It's worth pointing out that the photo accompanying The New York Times coverage of that conversation is very telling. Natalie Harp, a presidential aide clearly hired by Trump central casting Bring Me a Barely Legal Blonde, holds up a laptop displaying the video. It appears to be one of the worst views of the awful incident, so clearly there’s an obvious aura of disingenuousness about this attempt to prove the administration’s bogus assertion. Even if the video presentation went on to include better angles, the main fact is that Trump will never acknowledge any reality that does not fit the one which benefits him.
The best angle is hard to watch because it features a human being getting murdered by a coward. There isn’t any context where death is fun to observe. Speaking as someone who has watched material such as the infamous recording by the Dnepropetrovsk Maniacs a.k.a. “3guys1hammer”, there is something hauntingly odious about the death of Renee Nicole Good, especially in this disturbingly post-truth era old yam tits keeps driving us deeper into.
This was a completely avoidable tragedy based on every metric possible. ICE clearly escalates the situation, but that’s only because the President has made this Temu gestapo a jewel of his administration. They are meant to be the strongarm of a weak silver spoon narcissist aspiring to be a tin pot dictator.
Strength isn’t simply a matter of physicality. Strength is also the psychological fortitude to admit limitations, bear the brunt of being wrong, and continue onward in a new direction, having corrected course. Trump is demonstrably incapable of all those things. A weak individual to the core, the President is a house of cards glued together with bullshit that flinches in the presence of a strong wind, so he has surrounded himself with a horde of opportunistic Yes-people to shelter him from being blown apart by the absolute truth of his utter incompetence. He would rather vilify the victim of violence by his goon squad than admit ICE is a reckless risk to the people’s well-being.
I say that because this is clearly the point. It’s not simply a matter of trying to force people to conform to his confabulations. That’s the price of admission to his cult of personality—the loyalty test demanding people swallow heaping helpings of bullshit with a grin. Trump is also making it clear there will be zero accountability for the violence perpetrated under his name. That’s why he’s pardoned the January 6th Insurrectionists, and why right-wing propaganda is quick to accept any narrative from this administration that justifies murder.
Consider how Representative Wesley Hunt hurried on to Newsmax to declare, “The bottom line is this: when a federal officer gives you instructions, you abide by them and then you get to keep your life.”
As if this pack of dogs are straight out of the Judge Dredd comics, given the authority to kill whenever they see fit. The intent is clear: the sanctioning of state violence against anyone who seems like opposition. Furthermore, the obvious playbook the administration is following involves creating powder keg scenarios, blaming the victims when predictable violence ensues, and using the tragedy as an excuse to justify more oppression. In other words, they cook up a riot then use it as an excuse to put a boot on the neck of the general population.
Knowing this can result in a paralyzing sense of damned-if-ya-do-damned-if-you-don’t. The administration wants people to shut down due to depression. They want people to kowtow when ICE agents pass by, genuflecting in submissive thanks for not getting shot for nothing. They want people to feel like resistance will only make things worse, so let’s quietly endure things.
That’s certainly the attitude of the useless so-called “leadership” of the Democrat party. Senator Chuck Schumer in a brazen display of toothless rhetoric has repeatedly joined Hakeem Jeffries in giving stern warnings to the administration. Look out fiends! They’ll be sending angry letters soon, while telling their constituents to chill, wait for the midterms months away, and when elections are over, they promise then they will make things better.
Meanwhile, the delusional dimwit running this country is already expressing the need to cancel elections. In typical, Trump fashion he recently floated the idea publicly, though he quickly added he wouldn’t actually do it. It’s a maneuver he uses constantly, proposing a notion, claiming he’s not really serious unless it sounds like a good idea in which case he’ll have always meant it. It’s a mix of testing the waters as well as getting people used to him saying hideous things. By the time he’s canceling elections, it will be too late.
There is a perpetual fallacy in the Trump era that insists the system, particularly of checks and balances, will hold. Given time, the ship will right itself. The deceptive hope being offered is that resistance has an inevitable victory ahead. We, the people, just need to make it to the election and democratically dispose of this dictator. It’s a nice fantasy, however, a man with the intelligence of a brain damaged infant is still in charge. Not to mention, he has a history of ignoring the outcome of elections he doesn’t care for.
Even worse, the orange sewer goblin shitting on the Constitution may be the useful fool of more intelligent individuals. The Heritage Foundation penned the playbook for the current administration with Project 2025. In which case, the President is a moronic loose cannon being aimed at the institutions he’s taken an oath to protect.
Then consider how Mitch McConnell once “called Trump a ‘despicable human being’ and said he was ‘stupid as well as being ill-tempered.’ Trump’s behavior after the election, McConnell said, ‘only underscores the good judgment of the American people. They’ve just had enough of the misrepresentations, the outright lies almost on a daily basis, and they fired him.’” Yet, despite publicly stating Trump was at fault for the January 6th Insurrection and deserved impeachment for that coup attempt, McConnell voted against holding the orange menace accountable. He instead made a political calculation to maintain a Republican majority because he knew the shame of impeachment would irreparably stain the party.
Knowing this can result in a paralyzing sense of damned-if-ya-do-damned-if-you-don’t. The administration wants people to shut down due to depression. They want people to kowtow when ICE agents pass by, genuflecting in submissive thanks for not getting shot for nothing. They want people to feel like resistance will only make things worse, so let’s quietly endure things.
That’s certainly the attitude of the useless so-called “leadership” of the Democrat party. Senator Chuck Schumer in a brazen display of toothless rhetoric has repeatedly joined Hakeem Jeffries in giving stern warnings to the administration. Look out fiends! They’ll be sending angry letters soon, while telling their constituents to chill, wait for the midterms months away, and when elections are over, they promise then they will make things better.
Meanwhile, the delusional dimwit running this country is already expressing the need to cancel elections. In typical, Trump fashion he recently floated the idea publicly, though he quickly added he wouldn’t actually do it. It’s a maneuver he uses constantly, proposing a notion, claiming he’s not really serious unless it sounds like a good idea in which case he’ll have always meant it. It’s a mix of testing the waters as well as getting people used to him saying hideous things. By the time he’s canceling elections, it will be too late.
There is a perpetual fallacy in the Trump era that insists the system, particularly of checks and balances, will hold. Given time, the ship will right itself. The deceptive hope being offered is that resistance has an inevitable victory ahead. We, the people, just need to make it to the election and democratically dispose of this dictator. It’s a nice fantasy, however, a man with the intelligence of a brain damaged infant is still in charge. Not to mention, he has a history of ignoring the outcome of elections he doesn’t care for.
Even worse, the orange sewer goblin shitting on the Constitution may be the useful fool of more intelligent individuals. The Heritage Foundation penned the playbook for the current administration with Project 2025. In which case, the President is a moronic loose cannon being aimed at the institutions he’s taken an oath to protect.
Then consider how Mitch McConnell once “called Trump a ‘despicable human being’ and said he was ‘stupid as well as being ill-tempered.’ Trump’s behavior after the election, McConnell said, ‘only underscores the good judgment of the American people. They’ve just had enough of the misrepresentations, the outright lies almost on a daily basis, and they fired him.’” Yet, despite publicly stating Trump was at fault for the January 6th Insurrection and deserved impeachment for that coup attempt, McConnell voted against holding the orange menace accountable. He instead made a political calculation to maintain a Republican majority because he knew the shame of impeachment would irreparably stain the party.
Thinking about this, it’s easy to see why some people are giving up. The emotional toll of resistance is not something depicted in movies. Even when the fight gets rough, it’s a scene. One brief instant in a two-hour drama. The right monologue moves the main characters, and morale restored, they plunge back into the fray. Of course, fiction frequently comes with a guaranteed happy ending. The only guarantee these days seems to be that things are getting worse. It’s a recipe for substance abuse if nothing else. I gave up smoking a few years ago, but lord knows I've been longing lately to smoke a cigarette, joint, and shotgun.
Yet, there’s a strange upside to the obviousness of these incompetent clowns. Their contemptible mix of brazen arrogance combines with an insufferable audacity that has them dancing out in the open when they should be taking cover. There’s no shadowy conspiracy at play, even when it sounds like one. Rather, the administration is an amalgamation of useful fools alongside sycophants placating a drooling dunce, and shameless opportunists, none of whom are capable of running things effectively.
Populist demagogues like Trump are only effective as a carnival sideshow. Eventually the distracting deluge of dishonesty can’t hide the truth. And the murder of Renee Nicole Good is a prime example of this. Despite the administration’s best efforts, the truth is clear: an ICE agent needlessly shot someone, killing her for no reason whatsoever. Even Tom Homan, a shaved milk gorilla playing border czar, has been cautious enough to state, “If [ICE] are acting outside of policy, I'm not aware of it. There'll be an investigation. They'll be held accountable.”
Using the same horse sense that allegedly keeps him open for a bride, he can clearly feel the winds shifting. This is not the hill to die on for his side, and while it may only amount to one battle for Trump’s opposition, it is a badly needed victory waiting to happen. I’d much rather this cause didn’t have martyrs paving the way to a world without Trump, but for lack of a better expression, we have to make the best of a deplorable situation or else Renee Nicole Good died for nothing.
As such, Governor Tim Walz, perhaps foreseeing Trump’s next move, has already issued a warning order for the National Guard saying, “I remind you, a warning order is a heads-up for folks, and these National Guard troops are our National Guard troops.” Such forces have already been Trump’s attempt to float a quasi-martial law, using them in ways they have never been intended. And that too has resulted in avoidable tragedy with the death of Sarah Beckstrom and the almost fatal wounding of Andrew Wolfe in a shooting.
Yet, there’s a strange upside to the obviousness of these incompetent clowns. Their contemptible mix of brazen arrogance combines with an insufferable audacity that has them dancing out in the open when they should be taking cover. There’s no shadowy conspiracy at play, even when it sounds like one. Rather, the administration is an amalgamation of useful fools alongside sycophants placating a drooling dunce, and shameless opportunists, none of whom are capable of running things effectively.
Populist demagogues like Trump are only effective as a carnival sideshow. Eventually the distracting deluge of dishonesty can’t hide the truth. And the murder of Renee Nicole Good is a prime example of this. Despite the administration’s best efforts, the truth is clear: an ICE agent needlessly shot someone, killing her for no reason whatsoever. Even Tom Homan, a shaved milk gorilla playing border czar, has been cautious enough to state, “If [ICE] are acting outside of policy, I'm not aware of it. There'll be an investigation. They'll be held accountable.”
Using the same horse sense that allegedly keeps him open for a bride, he can clearly feel the winds shifting. This is not the hill to die on for his side, and while it may only amount to one battle for Trump’s opposition, it is a badly needed victory waiting to happen. I’d much rather this cause didn’t have martyrs paving the way to a world without Trump, but for lack of a better expression, we have to make the best of a deplorable situation or else Renee Nicole Good died for nothing.
As such, Governor Tim Walz, perhaps foreseeing Trump’s next move, has already issued a warning order for the National Guard saying, “I remind you, a warning order is a heads-up for folks, and these National Guard troops are our National Guard troops.” Such forces have already been Trump’s attempt to float a quasi-martial law, using them in ways they have never been intended. And that too has resulted in avoidable tragedy with the death of Sarah Beckstrom and the almost fatal wounding of Andrew Wolfe in a shooting.
What it comes down to is that we know what happens next every step of the way—protests which will be demonized and any resulting riots treated as an invitation to oppression. If Kalshi let us bet on it, most of us could financially survive the ruinous economy Trump has steered us towards. See, the thing about dark times is that they can always get darker, and like a black hole, they warp everyone within their reach. Yet, while it may seem exhausting to the point a cynical fatalism is the best choice – relax, release, and fall into the crushing darkness – there is no bright future without effort.
The silver lining doesn’t come with any tragedy. It needs to be woven into it. The upside here isn’t a martyr for the cause, rather the obvious odiousness that comes with her absolutely unnecessary demise. The murder of Renee Nicole Good by an ICE thug is another nail in the coffin of the Trump administration. Sure, there will be those who swallow the party line whole, but they don’t matter in the final summation. What matters are the people who break off from the greater iceberg that’s ripping a hole through the United States. There isn’t going to be one epic decisive battle that defeats these monsters, rather a steady chipping away that eventually leads to them crumbling to pieces.
This kind of incident isn’t polarizing, it’s revealing. And the obvious actions of the aspiring authoritarians running the government make it easier for opposition to get ahead of what comes next. Right now, the best folks can do is keep spreading the truth about what really happened – ICE murdered a U.S. citizen, and the administration is trying to cover it up. That’s a fact you can bet on.
The silver lining doesn’t come with any tragedy. It needs to be woven into it. The upside here isn’t a martyr for the cause, rather the obvious odiousness that comes with her absolutely unnecessary demise. The murder of Renee Nicole Good by an ICE thug is another nail in the coffin of the Trump administration. Sure, there will be those who swallow the party line whole, but they don’t matter in the final summation. What matters are the people who break off from the greater iceberg that’s ripping a hole through the United States. There isn’t going to be one epic decisive battle that defeats these monsters, rather a steady chipping away that eventually leads to them crumbling to pieces.
This kind of incident isn’t polarizing, it’s revealing. And the obvious actions of the aspiring authoritarians running the government make it easier for opposition to get ahead of what comes next. Right now, the best folks can do is keep spreading the truth about what really happened – ICE murdered a U.S. citizen, and the administration is trying to cover it up. That’s a fact you can bet on.
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